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Red20
753612.9
815332.5
999710.5
Blue100
643625.9
1039630.8
599333.9
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5593020408012014016020100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+78
Endgame+80
Fouls+80
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave9
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points4
6Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +71
3Coral scored#14
12Coral points49
0Processor algae#3
0Net algae#4
0Processor points18
0Net points16
0Algae points34
12Total teleop83
Reef
1L4#5
1L3#5
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#3
4Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +80
0Foul points0
20Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.53.5
24.621.1
Auto4.3
Teleop26.2
End2.0
blue by 1.4
33.91.3
23.324.6
Auto8.5
Teleop24.0
End1.4
Second
7536
#21DQ
12.93.5
26.522.9
Auto3.3
Teleop9.1
End0.5
blue by 17.9
30.81.3
27.028.3
Auto5.2
Teleop24.3
End1.3
Third
9997
#14
10.54.4
8.84.4
Auto4.1
Teleop5.2
End1.3
blue by 15.4
25.91.3
30.231.5
Auto5.7
Teleop18.4
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsMissed69%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
9%Barge oddsMissed4%Barge oddsMissed