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Red31
566531.7
902612.0
Blue41
497219.1
602521.0
926418.7
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions865202040601001201401603141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+8
Endgame+8
Fouls+10
AutonomousBlue +6
6Leave9
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
6Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +2
5Coral scored#4
17Coral points15
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
0Processor points0
4Net points8
4Algae points8
21Total teleop23
Reef
1L4#2
2L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
6Game pieces#7
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +10
0Foul points2
31Total score41

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5665
#18
31.72.5
48.746.3
Auto6.1
Teleop24.7
End0.9
red by 10.7
6025
#13
21.00.7
22.021.3
Auto4.7
Teleop14.7
End1.6
Second
9026
#20
12.03.3
7.44.1
Auto3.4
Teleop8.1
End0.4
blue by 7.1
4972
#11
19.10.9
12.311.4
Auto4.0
Teleop14.0
End1.1
Third
6.53.0
11.88.8
Auto3.5
Teleop2.1
End0.9
blue by 12.2
9264
#10
18.70.9
14.914.0
Auto6.9
Teleop10.1
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsMissed81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
16%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
9%Barge oddsMissed16%Barge oddsMissed