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Red59
902612.0
1021327.2
1039630.8
Blue119
1038316.3
926418.7
815971.7
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53111010015059119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+58
Endgame+58
Fouls+60
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave0
4Coral scored#5
20Coral points27
20Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +51
8Coral scored#19
27Coral points70
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
37Total teleop88
Reef
3L4#11
4L3#7
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#28
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +60
0Foul points2
59Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.80.2
28.028.3
Auto5.2
Teleop24.3
End1.3
blue by 40.9
71.71.5
64.265.6
Auto19.3
Teleop50.3
End2.1
Second
27.20.2
23.523.8
Auto4.9
Teleop21.3
End1.0
red by 8.6
9264
#10
18.71.8
14.015.8
Auto6.9
Teleop10.1
End1.7
Third
9026
#20
12.00.3
4.14.4
Auto3.4
Teleop8.1
End0.4
blue by 4.3
16.31.6
16.618.2
Auto4.9
Teleop9.3
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed26%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
5%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsMissed