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Red66
761117.2
815332.5
602521.0
Blue36
497219.1
784043.5
753612.9
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions599401502006636

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+26Teleop
+28Endgame
+30Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave3
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +23
7Coral scored#4
25Coral points16
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
6Processor points0
12Net points4
18Algae points4
43Total teleop20
Reef
2L4#2
3L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#6
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +30
8Foul points6
66Total score36

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.50.0
20.020.0
Auto4.3
Teleop26.2
End2.0
blue by 10.9
43.53.4
39.636.1
Auto10.5
Teleop27.4
End5.6
Second
6025
#13
21.00.0
20.420.4
Auto4.7
Teleop14.7
End1.6
red by 1.9
4972
#11
19.13.8
14.911.1
Auto4.0
Teleop14.0
End1.1
Third
17.20.0
17.317.3
Auto3.2
Teleop12.7
End1.3
red by 4.3
7536
#21
12.93.8
26.723.0
Auto3.3
Teleop9.1
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsMissed72%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsMissed