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Red55
926418.7
643625.9
999710.5
Blue93
599333.9
643149.1
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions549901505593

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+36
Endgame+36
Fouls+38
AutonomousBlue +8
0Leave9
3Coral scored#3
15Coral points14
15Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +28
6Coral scored#9
20Coral points34
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
6Processor points12
8Net points16
14Algae points28
34Total teleop62
Reef
4L4#3
2L3#4
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#18
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +38
0Foul points2
55Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.90.1
31.731.6
Auto5.7
Teleop18.4
End1.7
blue by 23.2
49.10.6
45.245.8
Auto8.4
Teleop39.9
End0.7
Second
9264
#10
18.70.1
15.815.7
Auto6.9
Teleop10.1
End1.7
blue by 15.3
33.90.6
27.728.3
Auto8.5
Teleop24.0
End1.4
Third
9997
#14
10.50.2
9.18.9
Auto4.1
Teleop5.2
End1.3
red by 4.0
6.50.6
9.19.7
Auto3.5
Teleop2.1
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned61%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
7%Barge oddsMissed7%Barge oddsMissed