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Red126
902612.0
947317.2
645970.2
Blue162
808434.6
815971.7
566531.7
9%Model gave it91%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83158050100200250126162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+32
Endgame+36
Fouls+36
AutonomousBlue +18
0Leave9
5Coral scored#7
26Coral points35
26Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +14
18Coral scored#19
66Coral points68
1Processor algae#3
4Net algae#4
6Processor points18
16Net points16
22Algae points34
88Total teleop102
Reef
10L4#11
6L3#8
5L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
28Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +4
0Cage & park4
0Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +36
12Foul points12
126Total score162

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.22.1
63.565.6
Auto18.2
Teleop51.8
End0.2
blue by 1.5
71.70.8
65.666.5
Auto19.3
Teleop50.3
End2.1
Second
9473
#19
17.22.3
15.317.6
Auto3.4
Teleop12.0
End1.8
blue by 17.4
34.60.9
31.932.8
Auto9.3
Teleop24.7
End0.5
Third
9026
#20
12.02.3
4.46.7
Auto3.4
Teleop8.1
End0.4
blue by 19.8
5665
#18
31.70.8
40.341.1
Auto6.1
Teleop24.7
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed34%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsEarned