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Red23
999710.5
602521.0
Blue76
1021327.2
643149.1
761117.2
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions331080501502002376

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+51
Endgame+53
Fouls+53
AutonomousBlue +6
6Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
6Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +45
3Coral scored#11
9Coral points40
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
0Processor points6
4Net points12
4Algae points18
13Total teleop58
Reef
1L4#5
1L3#3
0L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
4Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +53
0Foul points0
23Total score76

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6025
#13
21.01.1
20.419.4
Auto4.7
Teleop14.7
End1.6
blue by 28.1
49.10.7
45.845.0
Auto8.4
Teleop39.9
End0.7
Second
9997
#14
10.51.8
8.97.2
Auto4.1
Teleop5.2
End1.3
blue by 16.7
27.20.7
23.823.0
Auto4.9
Teleop21.3
End1.0
Third
6.51.1
9.78.6
Auto3.5
Teleop2.1
End0.9
blue by 10.7
17.20.7
17.316.6
Auto3.2
Teleop12.7
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsMissed80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
7%Barge oddsMissed10%Barge oddsMissed