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Red53
753612.9
947317.2
808434.6
Blue82
599333.9
566531.7
497219.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75900501001502005382

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+25
Endgame+31
Fouls+29
AutonomousBlue +10
0Leave6
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points17
13Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +15
8Coral scored#12
28Coral points43
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
38Total teleop53
Reef
3L4#6
3L3#4
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +6
0Cage & park6
0Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +29
2Foul points0
53Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.61.5
32.831.3
Auto9.3
Teleop24.7
End0.5
red by 0.7
33.90.1
28.328.4
Auto8.5
Teleop24.0
End1.4
Second
9473
#19
17.21.5
17.616.1
Auto3.4
Teleop12.0
End1.8
blue by 14.5
5665
#18
31.70.1
41.141.2
Auto6.1
Teleop24.7
End0.9
Third
7536
#21
12.91.5
23.021.5
Auto3.3
Teleop9.1
End0.5
blue by 6.2
4972
#11
19.10.1
11.111.2
Auto4.0
Teleop14.0
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsMissed69%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed8%Barge oddsMissed