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Red166
815971.7
645970.2
643625.9
Blue91
902612.0
1038316.3
784043.5
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19049010015025030016691

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
+85Teleop
+87Endgame
+75Fouls
AutonomousRed +25
9Leave3
7Coral scored#3
35Coral points16
44Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +60
22Coral scored#12
80Coral points44
2Processor algae#0
6Net algae#3
12Processor points0
24Net points12
36Algae points12
116Total teleop56
Reef
12L4#4
7L3#5
7L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
37Game pieces#18
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +75
0Foul points12
166Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.70.2
66.566.6
Auto19.3
Teleop50.3
End2.1
red by 28.2
43.51.2
36.137.3
Auto10.5
Teleop27.4
End5.6
Second
70.20.2
65.665.7
Auto18.2
Teleop51.8
End0.2
red by 53.9
16.31.2
18.219.4
Auto4.9
Teleop9.3
End2.0
Third
25.90.2
31.631.8
Auto5.7
Teleop18.4
End1.7
red by 13.9
9026
#20
12.01.2
6.77.9
Auto3.4
Teleop8.1
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned49%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
33%Coral oddsEarned12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed16%Barge oddsMissed