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Red7
1039630.8
753612.9
Blue95
784043.5
761117.2
947317.2
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions657902040100120140795

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+20
Teleop+80
Endgame+84
Fouls+88
AutonomousBlue +20
3Leave3
0Coral scored#4
0Coral points20
3Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +60
1Coral scored#12
2Coral points44
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#3
0Processor points6
0Net points12
0Algae points18
2Total teleop62
Reef
1L4#4
0L3#6
0L2#3
0L1 · trough#3
1Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +88
0Foul points4
7Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.83.5
29.425.9
Auto5.2
Teleop24.3
End1.3
blue by 12.6
43.51.4
37.338.7
Auto10.5
Teleop27.4
End5.6
Second
7536
#21
12.93.5
21.518.0
Auto3.3
Teleop9.1
End0.5
blue by 4.3
17.21.4
16.618.0
Auto3.2
Teleop12.7
End1.3
Third
6.53.5
8.65.2
Auto3.5
Teleop2.1
End0.9
blue by 10.7
9473
#19
17.21.4
16.117.5
Auto3.4
Teleop12.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsMissed39%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
8%Barge oddsMissed34%Barge oddsMissed