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Red123
784043.5
599333.9
815332.5
Blue36
947317.2
999710.5
902612.0
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1152005010015020012336

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+79Teleop
+81Endgame
+87Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
6Leave6
3Coral scored#1
17Coral points6
23Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +68
17Coral scored#4
60Coral points16
2Processor algae#0
4Net algae#1
12Processor points0
16Net points4
28Algae points4
88Total teleop20
Reef
8L4#2
5L3#1
5L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
26Game pieces#6
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +87
6Foul points0
123Total score36

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.51.4
40.642.0
Auto10.5
Teleop27.4
End5.6
red by 26.2
9473
#19
17.20.1
16.516.6
Auto3.4
Teleop12.0
End1.8
Second
33.91.4
29.130.5
Auto8.5
Teleop24.0
End1.4
red by 22.0
9026
#20
12.00.1
10.310.4
Auto3.4
Teleop8.1
End0.4
Third
32.51.4
25.827.2
Auto4.3
Teleop26.2
End2.0
red by 22.0
9997
#14
10.50.1
8.48.5
Auto4.1
Teleop5.2
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsEarned30%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed5%Barge oddsMissed