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Red80
1039630.8
497219.1
761117.2
Blue109
926418.7
566531.7
645970.2
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47149010020025080109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+39
Endgame+35
Fouls+29
AutonomousBlue +21
6Leave3
1Coral scored#6
6Coral points30
12Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +18
12Coral scored#16
42Coral points56
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
56Total teleop74
Reef
4L4#11
5L3#4
2L2#5
2L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#26
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +29
6Foul points0
80Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.81.3
27.729.1
Auto5.2
Teleop24.3
End1.3
blue by 39.4
70.20.9
68.767.8
Auto18.2
Teleop51.8
End0.2
Second
4972
#11
19.11.3
12.313.7
Auto4.0
Teleop14.0
End1.1
blue by 12.6
5665
#18
31.70.9
36.435.5
Auto6.1
Teleop24.7
End0.9
Third
17.21.3
13.915.2
Auto3.2
Teleop12.7
End1.3
blue by 1.5
9264
#10
18.70.9
17.616.7
Auto6.9
Teleop10.1
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
25%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed47%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
5%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsMissed