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Red73
1039630.8
602521.0
947317.2
Blue60
497219.1
902612.0
643625.9
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7661020401001201407360

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+5Teleop
+3Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave3
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points9
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +8
8Coral scored#9
28Coral points32
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
12Processor points0
8Net points8
20Algae points8
48Total teleop40
Reef
4L4#3
2L3#5
1L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
14Foul points4
73Total score60

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.80.5
28.928.4
Auto5.2
Teleop24.3
End1.3
red by 4.9
25.90.2
28.628.8
Auto5.7
Teleop18.4
End1.7
Second
6025
#13
21.00.5
21.521.0
Auto4.7
Teleop14.7
End1.6
red by 1.9
4972
#11
19.10.2
14.314.5
Auto4.0
Teleop14.0
End1.1
Third
9473
#19
17.20.5
16.315.8
Auto3.4
Teleop12.0
End1.8
red by 5.2
9026
#20
12.00.2
10.710.9
Auto3.4
Teleop8.1
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsMissed85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsEarned2%Barge oddsMissed