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Red122
645970.2
761117.2
999710.5
Blue76
808434.6
1039630.8
902612.0
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1017705015020012276

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+42Teleop
+46Endgame
+46Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave3
5Coral scored#5
24Coral points23
33Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +35
18Coral scored#9
63Coral points32
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
6Processor points6
16Net points12
22Algae points18
85Total teleop50
Reef
11L4#6
5L3#4
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#18
BargeRed +4
4Cage & park0
4Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +46
0Foul points0
122Total score76

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.22.1
69.471.5
Auto18.2
Teleop51.8
End0.2
red by 35.6
34.60.2
33.433.6
Auto9.3
Teleop24.7
End0.5
Second
17.22.1
13.615.7
Auto3.2
Teleop12.7
End1.3
blue by 13.6
30.80.2
28.428.6
Auto5.2
Teleop24.3
End1.3
Third
9997
#14
10.52.5
7.810.3
Auto4.1
Teleop5.2
End1.3
blue by 1.4
9026
#20
12.00.2
10.911.1
Auto3.4
Teleop8.1
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsEarned53%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
6%Barge oddsMissed5%Barge oddsMissed