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Red106
602521.0
645970.2
1038316.3
Blue94
566531.7
599333.9
947317.2
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1288705010015020010694

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+16Teleop
+12Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave0
4Coral scored#4
18Coral points20
27Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +9
12Coral scored#16
43Coral points58
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
18Processor points6
16Net points4
34Algae points10
77Total teleop68
Reef
5L4#5
5L3#6
3L2#5
3L1 · trough#4
23Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
0Foul points0
106Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.20.2
71.571.3
Auto18.2
Teleop51.8
End0.2
red by 36.3
33.90.8
31.131.9
Auto8.5
Teleop24.0
End1.4
Second
6025
#13
21.00.2
21.020.8
Auto4.7
Teleop14.7
End1.6
blue by 10.7
5665
#18
31.70.8
33.834.6
Auto6.1
Teleop24.7
End0.9
Third
16.30.2
16.916.7
Auto4.9
Teleop9.3
End2.0
blue by 0.9
9473
#19
17.20.8
16.817.6
Auto3.4
Teleop12.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned71%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
43%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed19%Barge oddsMissed