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Red83
761117.2
599333.9
Blue72
566531.7
643625.9
643149.1
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4613901001502008372

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+9Teleop
+9Endgame
+11Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave0
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points6
16Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +1
11Coral scored#13
41Coral points46
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#4
12Processor points0
8Net points16
20Algae points16
61Total teleop62
Reef
4L4#4
3L3#4
2L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
17Game pieces#18
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +11
2Foul points0
83Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.92.0
31.933.9
Auto8.5
Teleop24.0
End1.4
blue by 15.1
49.12.9
51.949.0
Auto8.4
Teleop39.9
End0.7
Second
17.22.0
15.717.6
Auto3.2
Teleop12.7
End1.3
blue by 14.5
5665
#18
31.72.9
34.631.7
Auto6.1
Teleop24.7
End0.9
Third
6.52.0
3.75.7
Auto3.5
Teleop2.1
End0.9
blue by 19.4
25.92.9
29.626.6
Auto5.7
Teleop18.4
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
19%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed18%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
5%Barge oddsMissed10%Barge oddsMissed