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Red151
815971.7
497219.1
815332.5
Blue102
602521.0
1021327.2
808434.6
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13280050100150200151102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+55Teleop
+53Endgame
+49Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave6
4Coral scored#2
20Coral points10
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +48
25Coral scored#12
90Coral points42
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#5
12Processor points12
20Net points20
32Algae points32
122Total teleop74
Reef
12L4#6
9L3#3
4L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
36Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +49
2Foul points6
151Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.72.3
70.572.7
Auto19.3
Teleop50.3
End2.1
red by 37.1
34.61.0
33.634.6
Auto9.3
Teleop24.7
End0.5
Second
32.52.3
28.931.2
Auto4.3
Teleop26.2
End2.0
red by 5.3
27.21.0
27.028.0
Auto4.9
Teleop21.3
End1.0
Third
4972
#11
19.12.3
15.417.7
Auto4.0
Teleop14.0
End1.1
blue by 1.9
6025
#13
21.01.0
20.821.7
Auto4.7
Teleop14.7
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsMissed78%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
34%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
10%Barge oddsMissed10%Barge oddsMissed