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Red100
1039630.8
815332.5
497219.1
Blue64
602521.0
643625.9
1021327.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84826070809010010064

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+36Teleop
+36Endgame
+36Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave9
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points7
19Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +33
15Coral scored#7
53Coral points26
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
77Total teleop44
Reef
5L4#2
6L3#3
2L2#1
4L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#12
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +36
0Foul points0
100Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.50.5
31.231.6
Auto4.3
Teleop26.2
End2.0
red by 5.3
27.20.3
28.027.6
Auto4.9
Teleop21.3
End1.0
Second
30.80.5
29.529.9
Auto5.2
Teleop24.3
End1.3
red by 4.9
25.90.3
26.626.3
Auto5.7
Teleop18.4
End1.7
Third
4972
#11
19.10.5
17.718.2
Auto4.0
Teleop14.0
End1.1
blue by 1.9
6025
#13
21.00.3
21.721.4
Auto4.7
Teleop14.7
End1.6