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Red78
643149.1
599333.9
Blue0
99987.0
99997.0
99967.0
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11412050100150780

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+20Auto
+78Teleop
+78Endgame
+78Fouls
AutonomousRed +20
9Leave0
2Coral scored#0
11Coral points0
20Total auto0
TeleoperatedRed +58
11Coral scored#0
40Coral points0
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#0
6Processor points0
12Net points0
18Algae points0
58Total teleop0
Reef
4L4#0
5L3#0
2L2#0
2L1 · trough#0
17Game pieces#0
Bargelevel
0Cage & park0
0Total endgame0
Penalties & totalRed +78
0Foul points0
78Total score0

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.10.4
49.048.6
Auto8.4
Teleop39.9
End0.7
red by 42.1
9996
Unranked
7.01.0
8.87.9
Auto1.7
Teleop5.2
End0.3
Second
33.90.4
33.933.5
Auto8.5
Teleop24.0
End1.4
red by 26.9
9998
Unranked
7.01.0
8.87.9
Auto1.7
Teleop5.2
End0.3
Third
6.50.4
5.75.3
Auto3.5
Teleop2.1
End0.9
blue by 0.5
9999
Unranked
7.01.0
8.87.9
Auto1.7
Teleop5.2
End0.3