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Red122
784043.5
808434.6
566531.7
Blue43
947317.2
1038316.3
761117.2
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12942010015020012243

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+83Teleop
+81Endgame
+79Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
0Leave9
6Coral scored#0
30Coral points0
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +62
20Coral scored#4
72Coral points14
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
86Total teleop24
Reef
9L4#2
7L3#1
7L2#0
3L1 · trough#1
29Game pieces#6
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +79
2Foul points4
122Total score43

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.50.2
43.443.6
Auto10.5
Teleop27.4
End5.6
red by 26.2
17.20.3
17.617.4
Auto3.2
Teleop12.7
End1.3
Second
34.60.2
34.634.8
Auto9.3
Teleop24.7
End0.5
red by 17.4
9473
#19
17.20.3
17.617.4
Auto3.4
Teleop12.0
End1.8
Third
5665
#18
31.70.2
31.731.9
Auto6.1
Teleop24.7
End0.9
red by 15.4
16.30.3
16.716.4
Auto4.9
Teleop9.3
End2.0