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Red195
645970.2
815971.7
926418.7
Blue109
1039630.8
815332.5
497219.1
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17570050100150200250300350195109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+42Auto
+88Teleop
+86Endgame
+86Fouls
AutonomousRed +42
3Leave3
10Coral scored#2
51Coral points9
54Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +46
25Coral scored#19
91Coral points67
3Processor algae#2
7Net algae#3
18Processor points12
28Net points12
46Algae points24
137Total teleop91
Reef
13L4#8
8L3#6
5L2#5
9L1 · trough#2
45Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +86
0Foul points0
195Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.70.9
69.270.1
Auto19.3
Teleop50.3
End2.1
red by 39.2
32.50.6
31.632.3
Auto4.3
Teleop26.2
End2.0
Second
70.20.9
67.768.6
Auto18.2
Teleop51.8
End0.2
red by 39.4
30.80.6
29.930.6
Auto5.2
Teleop24.3
End1.3
Third
9264
#10
18.70.9
16.117.1
Auto6.9
Teleop10.1
End1.7
blue by 0.4
4972
#11
19.10.6
18.218.9
Auto4.0
Teleop14.0
End1.1