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Red88
1039630.8
815332.5
497219.1
Blue58
947317.2
1038316.3
761117.2
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions924601502008858

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+34Teleop
+32Endgame
+30Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave6
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points6
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +30
15Coral scored#8
54Coral points28
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
68Total teleop38
Reef
7L4#4
4L3#3
3L2#1
4L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +30
0Foul points2
88Total score58

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.50.1
32.332.4
Auto4.3
Teleop26.2
End2.0
red by 15.3
17.20.1
17.117.2
Auto3.2
Teleop12.7
End1.3
Second
30.80.1
30.630.7
Auto5.2
Teleop24.3
End1.3
red by 13.6
9473
#19
17.20.1
17.117.2
Auto3.4
Teleop12.0
End1.8
Third
4972
#11
19.10.1
18.919.0
Auto4.0
Teleop14.0
End1.1
red by 2.8
16.30.1
16.216.3
Auto4.9
Teleop9.3
End2.0