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Red162
872123.7
10356.9
36557.4
Blue91
272237.0
171236.8
758731.8
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1731325010015020025016291

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+61Teleop
+71Endgame
+71Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
0Leave0
7Coral scored#5
36Coral points23
36Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +48
21Coral scored#14
76Coral points52
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
18Processor points6
16Net points4
34Algae points10
110Total teleop62
Reef
11L4#7
9L3#6
4L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
35Game pieces#21
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +71
0Foul points0
162Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
365
#1
57.40.5
56.857.2
Auto8.9
Teleop40.9
End7.6
red by 20.4
2722
#15
37.00.5
37.637.1
Auto9.6
Teleop26.7
End0.8
Second
103
#2
56.90.5
56.356.7
Auto7.2
Teleop43.2
End6.5
red by 20.2
1712
#11
36.80.5
37.336.8
Auto6.0
Teleop25.5
End5.3
Third
8721
#24
23.70.5
23.123.5
Auto6.3
Teleop16.1
End1.3
blue by 8.1
7587
#17
31.80.5
32.431.9
Auto2.2
Teleop25.5
End4.1