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Red115
741440.8
549011.8
27244.3
Blue90
70852.5
31642.1
272035.1
14%Model gave it86%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions881235010015020011590

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+23Teleop
+25Endgame
+25Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
3Leave3
3Coral scored#1
14Coral points6
17Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +15
19Coral scored#11
68Coral points39
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
6Processor points12
8Net points16
14Algae points28
82Total teleop67
Reef
9L4#4
6L3#2
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#18
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +25
0Foul points0
115Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
272
#6
44.31.5
37.639.1
Auto6.6
Teleop28.2
End9.5
blue by 8.2
708
#8
52.51.8
40.238.4
Auto9.8
Teleop34.4
End8.4
Second
7414
#13
40.81.5
29.030.5
Auto7.5
Teleop30.6
End2.6
blue by 1.3
316
#10
42.11.8
38.136.4
Auto11.1
Teleop29.2
End1.8
Third
5490
#28
11.82.6
16.719.3
Auto3.7
Teleop6.2
End1.9
blue by 23.3
2720
#16
35.11.8
30.028.2
Auto5.6
Teleop25.3
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
65%Barge oddsEarned51%Barge oddsEarned