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Red91
32140.1
909447.8
87049.5
Blue93
255916.4
10356.9
566620.6
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8385607080901001109193

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+8Teleop
Endgame+2
Fouls+2
AutonomousRed +18
0Leave9
6Coral scored#1
30Coral points3
30Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +10
8Coral scored#14
29Coral points51
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
6Processor points6
20Net points8
26Algae points14
55Total teleop65
Reef
4L4#4
4L3#5
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +2
0Foul points0
91Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.81.1
36.537.6
Auto13.3
Teleop27.0
End7.5
blue by 9.1
103
#2
56.91.2
44.245.4
Auto7.2
Teleop43.2
End6.5
Second
321
#26
40.11.1
36.337.5
Auto14.9
Teleop23.5
End1.8
red by 19.6
5666
#32
20.61.2
20.021.2
Auto3.8
Teleop14.5
End2.3
Third
8704
#31
9.51.1
1.62.7
Auto3.1
Teleop4.1
End2.2
blue by 6.9
2559
#23
16.41.2
10.311.5
Auto4.7
Teleop9.0
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsEarned58%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsEarned