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Red88
622642.2
511324.6
272237.0
Blue81
108948.3
42719.6
465338.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86780501502002503008881

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
+13Teleop
+7Endgame
+7Fouls
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave0
3Coral scored#6
16Coral points30
16Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +27
13Coral scored#10
46Coral points35
3Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
18Processor points6
8Net points4
26Algae points10
72Total teleop45
Reef
8L4#5
5L3#5
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +6
0Cage & park6
0Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +7
0Foul points0
88Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6226
#20
42.20.4
34.935.3
Auto3.9
Teleop36.3
End2.0
blue by 6.1
48.30.3
32.933.2
Auto13.4
Teleop32.4
End2.5
Second
2722
#15
37.00.4
19.219.6
Auto9.6
Teleop26.7
End0.8
blue by 1.8
38.80.3
27.027.2
Auto10.2
Teleop19.9
End8.7
Third
5113
#19
24.60.4
25.525.9
Auto5.4
Teleop14.6
End4.6
red by 5.0
427
#33
19.60.3
14.114.4
Auto6.8
Teleop9.7
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsEarned65%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed37%Barge oddsMissed