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Red125
42719.6
48448.9
909447.8
Blue128
108948.3
32140.1
201634.3
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97989095100105110115120125125128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+9
+3Endgame
Fouls+3
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave0
6Coral scored#9
31Coral points44
37Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +2
14Coral scored#12
50Coral points42
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#5
6Processor points12
16Net points20
22Algae points32
72Total teleop74
Reef
10L4#6
4L3#7
3L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#28
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +3
0Foul points6
125Total score128

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
484
#14
48.92.3
38.741.0
Auto10.9
Teleop34.3
End3.7
red by 0.7
48.31.9
33.235.1
Auto13.4
Teleop32.4
End2.5
Second
47.82.3
37.639.9
Auto13.3
Teleop27.0
End7.5
red by 7.7
321
#26
40.11.9
37.539.4
Auto14.9
Teleop23.5
End1.8
Third
427
#33
19.62.3
14.416.7
Auto6.8
Teleop9.7
End3.1
blue by 14.7
2016
#18
34.31.9
22.824.7
Auto4.6
Teleop28.1
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsEarned52%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsEarned34%Barge oddsMissed