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Red135
10356.9
549011.8
31642.1
Blue63
171236.8
465222.1
566620.6
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1317805010015020013563

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+64Teleop
+72Endgame
+72Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
9Leave6
2Coral scored#1
11Coral points3
20Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +53
20Coral scored#8
71Coral points30
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
18Processor points6
12Net points12
30Algae points18
101Total teleop48
Reef
11L4#3
4L3#2
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#1
28Game pieces#13
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +72
0Foul points0
135Total score63

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
103
#2
56.91.4
45.446.8
Auto7.2
Teleop43.2
End6.5
red by 20.2
1712
#11
36.81.1
24.723.6
Auto6.0
Teleop25.5
End5.3
Second
316
#10
42.11.4
36.437.7
Auto11.1
Teleop29.2
End1.8
red by 20.0
4652
#30
22.11.1
18.817.7
Auto4.0
Teleop15.1
End3.0
Third
5490
#28
11.82.3
19.321.6
Auto3.7
Teleop6.2
End1.9
blue by 8.7
5666
#32
20.61.1
21.220.1
Auto3.8
Teleop14.5
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned54%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsEarned15%Barge oddsMissed