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Red75
255916.4
758731.8
27244.3
Blue63
1014320.4
87049.5
272237.0
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8741020601001201401607563

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
+6Teleop
+16Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousBlue +8
0Leave0
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points17
9Total auto17
TeleoperatedRed +14
12Coral scored#7
42Coral points26
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
0Processor points6
8Net points4
8Algae points10
50Total teleop36
Reef
5L4#4
3L3#3
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#12
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
0Foul points4
75Total score63

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
272
#6
44.30.5
39.139.6
Auto6.6
Teleop28.2
End9.5
red by 7.3
2722
#15
37.01.3
19.620.8
Auto9.6
Teleop26.7
End0.8
Second
7587
#17
31.80.5
17.417.9
Auto2.2
Teleop25.5
End4.1
red by 11.4
20.41.3
17.418.7
Auto4.5
Teleop14.1
End1.8
Third
2559
#23
16.40.5
11.512.0
Auto4.7
Teleop9.0
End2.7
red by 6.9
8704
#31
9.51.3
2.74.0
Auto3.1
Teleop4.1
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
24%Auto oddsMissed14%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
56%Barge oddsEarned5%Barge oddsMissed