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Qual 162025 FMA District Bensalem Event
Red133
901550.3
622642.2
272035.1
Blue141
125739.8
540134.5
70852.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions119110050150200250300350133141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+12
Teleop+18
Endgame+8
Fouls+8
AutonomousBlue +12
9Leave0
1Coral scored#6
7Coral points28
16Total auto28
TeleoperatedBlue +6
19Coral scored#21
69Coral points75
3Processor algae#3
4Net algae#4
18Processor points18
16Net points16
34Algae points34
103Total teleop109
Reef
5L4#13
8L3#5
5L2#6
2L1 · trough#3
27Game pieces#34
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +8
0Foul points0
133Total score141

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9015
#12
50.31.0
43.7→44.7
Auto10.6
Teleop38.1
End1.6
blue by 2.2
708
#8
52.52.1
38.4→40.5
Auto9.8
Teleop34.4
End8.4
Second
6226
#20
42.21.0
35.3→36.3
Auto3.9
Teleop36.3
End2.0
red by 2.4
1257
#3
39.82.1
30.5→32.6
Auto10.0
Teleop27.9
End2.0
Third
2720
#16
35.11.0
28.2→29.2
Auto5.6
Teleop25.3
End4.3
red by 0.6
5401
#9
34.52.1
29.6→31.7
Auto7.3
Teleop25.3
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
22%Coral oddsEarned32%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
12%Barge oddsEarned62%Barge oddsMissed