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Red44
42719.6
48617.8
475020.1
Blue134
741440.8
108948.3
10356.9
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52135010015020044134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+80
Endgame+76
Fouls+90
AutonomousBlue +18
3Leave3
1Coral scored#4
3Coral points21
6Total auto24
TeleoperatedBlue +62
8Coral scored#15
28Coral points54
0Processor algae#2
1Net algae#7
0Processor points12
4Net points28
4Algae points40
32Total teleop94
Reef
5L4#6
2L3#5
1L2#5
1L1 · trough#3
10Game pieces#28
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +90
0Foul points14
44Total score134

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4750
#27
20.12.7
19.116.3
Auto3.9
Teleop11.5
End4.7
blue by 36.8
103
#2
56.90.4
46.846.4
Auto7.2
Teleop43.2
End6.5
Second
427
#33
19.61.6
16.715.0
Auto6.8
Teleop9.7
End3.1
blue by 28.7
48.30.4
35.134.7
Auto13.4
Teleop32.4
End2.5
Third
486
#22
17.81.6
18.717.1
Auto4.3
Teleop10.4
End3.1
blue by 23.0
7414
#13
40.80.4
30.530.1
Auto7.5
Teleop30.6
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsMissed85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed55%Barge oddsMissed