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Red110
457526.6
36557.4
549011.8
Blue59
465222.1
758731.8
32140.1
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions104805015020011059

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+39Teleop
+51Endgame
+51Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave0
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points9
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +32
14Coral scored#9
50Coral points34
2Processor algae#0
4Net algae#3
12Processor points0
16Net points12
28Algae points12
78Total teleop46
Reef
5L4#5
5L3#3
3L2#1
4L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#14
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +51
0Foul points0
110Total score59

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
365
#1
57.41.1
47.248.3
Auto8.9
Teleop40.9
End7.6
red by 17.3
321
#26
40.11.1
39.438.3
Auto14.9
Teleop23.5
End1.8
Second
4575
#25
26.61.1
24.225.4
Auto5.6
Teleop17.2
End3.7
blue by 5.3
7587
#17
31.81.1
17.916.8
Auto2.2
Teleop25.5
End4.1
Third
5490
#28
11.81.9
21.623.5
Auto3.7
Teleop6.2
End1.9
blue by 10.3
4652
#30
22.11.1
17.716.6
Auto4.0
Teleop15.1
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsMissed23%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
12%Coral oddsEarned2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
69%Barge oddsEarned15%Barge oddsMissed