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Red110
622642.2
566620.6
872123.7
Blue141
901550.3
27244.3
171236.8
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions961356080120160180200110141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+21
Endgame+31
Fouls+31
AutonomousBlue +8
0Leave3
3Coral scored#4
15Coral points20
15Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +13
16Coral scored#18
59Coral points64
3Processor algae#3
3Net algae#5
18Processor points18
12Net points20
30Algae points38
89Total teleop102
Reef
5L4#7
7L3#6
4L2#6
3L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +31
0Foul points0
110Total score141

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6226
#20
42.20.8
36.337.1
Auto3.9
Teleop36.3
End2.0
blue by 8.1
9015
#12
50.30.9
44.745.6
Auto10.6
Teleop38.1
End1.6
Second
8721
#24
23.70.8
22.523.3
Auto6.3
Teleop16.1
End1.3
blue by 20.6
272
#6
44.30.9
39.640.4
Auto6.6
Teleop28.2
End9.5
Third
5666
#32
20.60.8
20.120.9
Auto3.8
Teleop14.5
End2.3
blue by 16.2
1712
#11
36.80.9
23.624.4
Auto6.0
Teleop25.5
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsEarned17%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
43%Barge oddsMissed41%Barge oddsEarned