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Qual 202025 FMA District Bensalem Event
Red94
255916.4
70852.5
48448.9
Blue106
272237.0
125739.8
48617.8
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1157905010015020094106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+16
Endgame+12
Fouls+12
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave0
3Coral scored#5
13Coral points23
19Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +12
14Coral scored#16
49Coral points57
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
12Processor points12
8Net points12
20Algae points24
69Total teleop81
Reef
7L4#8
4L3#5
4L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#26
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +12
0Foul points0
94Total score106

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
708
#8
52.50.2
40.5→40.3
Auto9.8
Teleop34.4
End8.4
red by 12.7
1257
#3
39.82.2
32.6→34.8
Auto10.0
Teleop27.9
End2.0
Second
484
#14
48.90.2
41.0→40.8
Auto10.9
Teleop34.3
End3.7
red by 11.9
2722
#15
37.02.2
20.8→23.0
Auto9.6
Teleop26.7
End0.8
Third
2559
#23
16.40.2
12.0→11.8
Auto4.7
Teleop9.0
End2.7
blue by 1.4
486
#22
17.82.2
17.1→19.3
Auto4.3
Teleop10.4
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsEarned65%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsEarned9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
73%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsMissed