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Red89
511324.6
1014320.4
31642.1
Blue95
272035.1
909447.8
201634.3
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions901044060801201401601808995

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+6Teleop
Endgame+6
Fouls+6
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave0
4Coral scored#3
20Coral points16
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +1
13Coral scored#14
48Coral points49
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
62Total teleop63
Reef
7L4#3
3L3#6
3L2#4
4L1 · trough#4
20Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +6
0Foul points0
89Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
316
#10
42.10.4
37.738.2
Auto11.1
Teleop29.2
End1.8
blue by 5.7
47.80.1
39.940.0
Auto13.3
Teleop27.0
End7.5
Second
5113
#19
24.60.4
25.926.3
Auto5.4
Teleop14.6
End4.6
blue by 10.5
2720
#16
35.10.1
29.229.3
Auto5.6
Teleop25.3
End4.3
Third
20.40.4
18.719.2
Auto4.5
Teleop14.1
End1.8
blue by 13.9
2016
#18
34.30.1
24.724.7
Auto4.6
Teleop28.1
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsEarned60%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsMissed44%Barge oddsEarned