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Red120
465338.8
164716.2
540134.5
Blue74
741440.8
475020.1
87049.5
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9556015012074

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+2Auto
+34Teleop
+46Endgame
+46Fouls
AutonomousRed +2
3Leave9
3Coral scored#2
16Coral points8
19Total auto17
TeleoperatedRed +32
16Coral scored#9
57Coral points31
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
12Processor points6
16Net points16
28Algae points22
85Total teleop53
Reef
7L4#4
7L3#3
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#16
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +46
0Foul points0
120Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.82.1
28.230.3
Auto10.2
Teleop19.9
End8.7
blue by 2.0
7414
#13
40.80.8
30.130.9
Auto7.5
Teleop30.6
End2.6
Second
34.52.1
31.733.9
Auto7.3
Teleop25.3
End1.9
red by 14.4
4750
#27
20.11.4
16.317.7
Auto3.9
Teleop11.5
End4.7
Third
1647
#21
16.22.1
16.819.0
Auto4.8
Teleop11.1
End0.3
red by 6.7
8704
#31
9.50.8
4.04.8
Auto3.1
Teleop4.1
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned21%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsEarned20%Barge oddsMissed