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Red83
32140.1
457526.6
48617.8
Blue172
125739.8
10356.9
27244.3
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions871445010020083172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+77
Endgame+89
Fouls+89
AutonomousBlue +13
3Leave0
2Coral scored#5
9Coral points25
12Total auto25
TeleoperatedBlue +64
8Coral scored#23
29Coral points83
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#5
12Processor points18
16Net points20
28Algae points38
57Total teleop121
Reef
3L4#8
2L3#9
2L2#5
3L1 · trough#6
16Game pieces#36
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +89
0Foul points0
83Total score172

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
321
#26
40.11.1
38.337.2
Auto14.9
Teleop23.5
End1.8
blue by 16.8
103
#2
56.92.3
46.448.7
Auto7.2
Teleop43.2
End6.5
Second
4575
#25
26.61.1
25.424.2
Auto5.6
Teleop17.2
End3.7
blue by 17.7
272
#6
44.32.3
40.442.7
Auto6.6
Teleop28.2
End9.5
Third
486
#22
17.81.1
19.318.1
Auto4.3
Teleop10.4
End3.1
blue by 22.0
39.82.3
34.837.0
Auto10.0
Teleop27.9
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
25%Barge oddsEarned68%Barge oddsEarned