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Red84
457526.6
125739.8
758731.8
Blue134
48448.9
201634.3
511324.6
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7283406010012084134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+52
Endgame+52
Fouls+50
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave6
2Coral scored#2
12Coral points10
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +48
11Coral scored#20
38Coral points72
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#5
6Processor points12
12Net points20
18Algae points32
56Total teleop104
Reef
5L4#6
4L3#9
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
17Game pieces#29
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +50
2Foul points0
84Total score134

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.80.7
27.528.3
Auto10.0
Teleop27.9
End2.0
blue by 9.1
484
#14
48.93.6
34.738.3
Auto10.9
Teleop34.3
End3.7
Second
7587
#17
31.80.7
16.317.0
Auto2.2
Teleop25.5
End4.1
blue by 2.5
2016
#18
34.33.6
18.422.0
Auto4.6
Teleop28.1
End1.7
Third
4575
#25
26.60.7
21.222.0
Auto5.6
Teleop17.2
End3.7
red by 1.9
5113
#19
24.64.0
21.525.5
Auto5.4
Teleop14.6
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsEarned35%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsEarned40%Barge oddsEarned