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Red121
1014320.4
27244.3
909447.8
Blue73
465222.1
164716.2
475020.1
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10053020408012014016012173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+40Teleop
+48Endgame
+48Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
9Leave6
2Coral scored#1
11Coral points3
20Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +29
14Coral scored#13
51Coral points48
2Processor algae#1
6Net algae#1
12Processor points6
24Net points4
36Algae points10
87Total teleop58
Reef
8L4#6
4L3#4
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
24Game pieces#16
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +48
0Foul points0
121Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.81.8
34.736.5
Auto13.3
Teleop27.0
End7.5
red by 25.7
4652
#30
22.10.6
19.119.7
Auto4.0
Teleop15.1
End3.0
Second
272
#6
44.31.8
35.837.6
Auto6.6
Teleop28.2
End9.5
red by 24.2
4750
#27
20.11.0
17.418.4
Auto3.9
Teleop11.5
End4.7
Third
20.41.8
13.515.2
Auto4.5
Teleop14.1
End1.8
red by 4.2
1647
#21
16.20.6
15.616.2
Auto4.8
Teleop11.1
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsEarned37%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
50%Barge oddsEarned16%Barge oddsMissed