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Red92
566620.6
901550.3
87049.5
Blue93
48617.8
272035.1
465338.8
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions658420401001201409293

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+9Teleop
Endgame+1
Fouls+1
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave0
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points16
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +13
13Coral scored#13
48Coral points47
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
6Processor points6
20Net points8
26Algae points14
74Total teleop61
Reef
4L4#7
5L3#3
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
20Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +1
0Foul points0
92Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9015
#12
50.32.1
40.142.2
Auto10.6
Teleop38.1
End1.6
red by 11.6
38.81.1
25.927.0
Auto10.2
Teleop19.9
End8.7
Second
5666
#32
20.62.1
17.920.0
Auto3.8
Teleop14.5
End2.3
blue by 14.6
2720
#16
35.11.1
28.930.0
Auto5.6
Teleop25.3
End4.3
Third
8704
#31
9.52.1
-0.51.6
Auto3.1
Teleop4.1
End2.2
blue by 8.3
486
#22
17.81.1
16.117.2
Auto4.3
Teleop10.4
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsMissed62%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
9%Barge oddsMissed31%Barge oddsEarned