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Red110
475020.1
465338.8
622642.2
Blue129
272035.1
48448.9
36557.4
8%Model gave it92%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91132406080100120140160180200110129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+29
Endgame+19
Fouls+19
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave3
3Coral scored#4
16Coral points19
19Total auto22
TeleoperatedBlue +26
13Coral scored#23
45Coral points83
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
18Processor points6
12Net points12
30Algae points18
75Total teleop101
Reef
6L4#11
5L3#7
2L2#4
3L1 · trough#5
22Game pieces#31
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +19
0Foul points0
110Total score129

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6226
#20
42.21.3
37.138.4
Auto3.9
Teleop36.3
End2.0
blue by 15.2
365
#1
57.40.3
48.348.6
Auto8.9
Teleop40.9
End7.6
Second
38.81.3
30.331.6
Auto10.2
Teleop19.9
End8.7
blue by 10.2
484
#14
48.90.3
40.841.1
Auto10.9
Teleop34.3
End3.7
Third
4750
#27
20.12.2
17.719.9
Auto3.9
Teleop11.5
End4.7
blue by 15.0
2720
#16
35.10.3
29.329.6
Auto5.6
Teleop25.3
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned78%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
18%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsEarned82%Barge oddsMissed