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Red74
201634.3
42719.6
872123.7
Blue119
909447.8
540134.5
465222.1
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions651055015074119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+39
Endgame+47
Fouls+45
AutonomousBlue +18
3Leave6
2Coral scored#5
9Coral points24
12Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +21
10Coral scored#17
36Coral points61
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
54Total teleop75
Reef
5L4#9
4L3#7
1L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +45
2Foul points0
74Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2016
#18
34.30.6
24.725.3
Auto4.6
Teleop28.1
End1.7
blue by 13.5
47.81.9
40.041.9
Auto13.3
Teleop27.0
End7.5
Second
8721
#24
23.70.6
23.323.9
Auto6.3
Teleop16.1
End1.3
blue by 10.8
34.51.9
33.935.8
Auto7.3
Teleop25.3
End1.9
Third
427
#33
19.60.6
15.015.6
Auto6.8
Teleop9.7
End3.1
blue by 2.5
4652
#30
22.11.9
16.618.5
Auto4.0
Teleop15.1
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsEarned78%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsEarned