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Red79
87049.5
255916.4
108948.3
Blue96
272237.0
31642.1
164716.2
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50960204060801201401607996

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
Teleop+27
Endgame+17
Fouls+17
AutonomousRed +11
6Leave3
3Coral scored#1
14Coral points6
20Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +38
8Coral scored#19
27Coral points67
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
12Processor points6
8Net points12
20Algae points18
47Total teleop85
Reef
3L4#7
5L3#7
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
15Game pieces#24
BargeRed +10
12Cage & park2
12Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +17
0Foul points0
79Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.30.6
34.735.3
Auto13.4
Teleop32.4
End2.5
red by 6.2
316
#10
42.10.3
38.237.9
Auto11.1
Teleop29.2
End1.8
Second
2559
#23
16.40.6
11.812.5
Auto4.7
Teleop9.0
End2.7
blue by 20.6
2722
#15
37.00.3
23.022.7
Auto9.6
Teleop26.7
End0.8
Third
8704
#31
9.50.6
4.85.5
Auto3.1
Teleop4.1
End2.2
blue by 6.7
1647
#21
16.20.3
19.018.7
Auto4.8
Teleop11.1
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsEarned50%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
8%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsMissed