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Red102
741440.8
901550.3
1014320.4
Blue77
549011.8
125739.8
511324.6
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions108952040608012014016018010277

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+5
+41Teleop
+37Endgame
+25Fouls
AutonomousBlue +5
3Leave6
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points15
16Total auto21
TeleoperatedRed +46
16Coral scored#8
56Coral points28
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
12Processor points6
16Net points4
28Algae points10
84Total teleop38
Reef
7L4#3
6L3#3
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +25
0Foul points12
102Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9015
#12
50.30.4
45.646.0
Auto10.6
Teleop38.1
End1.6
red by 10.5
39.81.5
37.035.6
Auto10.0
Teleop27.9
End2.0
Second
7414
#13
40.80.4
30.931.3
Auto7.5
Teleop30.6
End2.6
red by 16.1
5113
#19
24.61.5
26.324.8
Auto5.4
Teleop14.6
End4.6
Third
20.40.4
19.219.6
Auto4.5
Teleop14.1
End1.8
red by 8.6
5490
#28
11.82.4
23.521.0
Auto3.7
Teleop6.2
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
18%Coral oddsMissed28%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed54%Barge oddsMissed