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Red111
70852.5
171236.8
48617.8
Blue103
465338.8
465222.1
457526.6
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions113976080120140160180111103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+18Teleop
+8Endgame
+8Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave3
3Coral scored#3
14Coral points16
23Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +14
14Coral scored#11
52Coral points38
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#5
12Processor points12
20Net points20
32Algae points32
84Total teleop70
Reef
7L4#6
5L3#2
2L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +8
0Foul points0
111Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
708
#8
52.50.7
40.341.1
Auto9.8
Teleop34.4
End8.4
red by 13.7
38.80.8
31.632.4
Auto10.2
Teleop19.9
End8.7
Second
1712
#11
36.80.7
24.425.2
Auto6.0
Teleop25.5
End5.3
red by 10.2
4575
#25
26.60.8
24.225.0
Auto5.6
Teleop17.2
End3.7
Third
486
#22
17.80.7
18.118.9
Auto4.3
Teleop10.4
End3.1
blue by 4.3
4652
#30
22.10.8
18.519.3
Auto4.0
Teleop15.1
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
18%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
67%Barge oddsMissed23%Barge oddsEarned