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Red160
540134.5
901550.3
758731.8
Blue57
549011.8
164716.2
255916.4
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12054010015020016057

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+91Teleop
+91Endgame
+103Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
6Leave9
5Coral scored#1
24Coral points4
30Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +74
19Coral scored#8
68Coral points30
5Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
30Processor points6
16Net points4
46Algae points10
114Total teleop40
Reef
12L4#4
5L3#2
3L2#1
4L1 · trough#2
33Game pieces#11
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +103
12Foul points0
160Total score57

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9015
#12
50.32.4
46.048.4
Auto10.6
Teleop38.1
End1.6
red by 33.9
2559
#23
16.40.6
12.511.8
Auto4.7
Teleop9.0
End2.7
Second
34.52.4
35.838.1
Auto7.3
Teleop25.3
End1.9
red by 18.3
1647
#21
16.20.6
18.718.0
Auto4.8
Teleop11.1
End0.3
Third
7587
#17
31.82.4
16.819.2
Auto2.2
Teleop25.5
End4.1
red by 20.0
5490
#28
11.81.0
21.020.0
Auto3.7
Teleop6.2
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsEarned44%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
29%Coral oddsEarned10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed39%Barge oddsMissed