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Red79
27244.3
87049.5
42719.6
Blue133
31642.1
201634.3
36557.4
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions641315010015020079133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+64
Endgame+66
Fouls+54
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave6
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points13
9Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +54
7Coral scored#18
26Coral points64
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#4
6Processor points18
12Net points16
18Algae points34
44Total teleop98
Reef
3L4#8
3L3#6
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
12Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +54
12Foul points0
79Total score133

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
272
#6
44.30.5
42.742.2
Auto6.6
Teleop28.2
End9.5
blue by 13.1
365
#1
57.40.7
48.649.3
Auto8.9
Teleop40.9
End7.6
Second
427
#33
19.60.5
15.615.1
Auto6.8
Teleop9.7
End3.1
blue by 22.5
316
#10
42.10.7
37.938.6
Auto11.1
Teleop29.2
End1.8
Third
8704
#31
9.50.5
5.54.9
Auto3.1
Teleop4.1
End2.2
blue by 24.8
2016
#18
34.30.7
25.326.0
Auto4.6
Teleop28.1
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsMissed56%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
26%Barge oddsEarned69%Barge oddsEarned