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Red163
48448.9
108948.3
272237.0
Blue66
171236.8
457526.6
1014320.4
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions126855010015020016366

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+32Auto
+97Teleop
+97Endgame
+97Fouls
AutonomousRed +32
3Leave0
8Coral scored#2
41Coral points12
44Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +65
21Coral scored#8
77Coral points28
3Processor algae#1
5Net algae#4
18Processor points6
20Net points16
38Algae points22
115Total teleop50
Reef
9L4#3
7L3#3
7L2#2
6L1 · trough#2
37Game pieces#15
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +97
0Foul points0
163Total score66

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
484
#14
48.93.2
41.144.3
Auto10.9
Teleop34.3
End3.7
red by 12.2
1712
#11
36.81.5
25.223.7
Auto6.0
Teleop25.5
End5.3
Second
48.33.2
35.839.0
Auto13.4
Teleop32.4
End2.5
red by 21.7
4575
#25
26.61.5
25.023.6
Auto5.6
Teleop17.2
End3.7
Third
2722
#15
37.03.2
22.725.9
Auto9.6
Teleop26.7
End0.8
red by 16.6
20.41.5
19.618.1
Auto4.5
Teleop14.1
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsEarned72%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsMissed