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Red91
475020.1
31642.1
32140.1
Blue64
758731.8
87049.5
872123.7
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1204701001502009164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+29Teleop
+27Endgame
+27Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
3Leave9
7Coral scored#0
34Coral points0
37Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +1
10Coral scored#9
36Coral points31
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
50Total teleop49
Reef
8L4#5
4L3#1
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +27
0Foul points0
91Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
316
#10
42.10.4
38.638.2
Auto11.1
Teleop29.2
End1.8
red by 10.3
7587
#17
31.81.1
19.220.2
Auto2.2
Teleop25.5
End4.1
Second
321
#26
40.10.4
37.336.9
Auto14.9
Teleop23.5
End1.8
red by 16.4
8721
#24
23.71.1
23.924.9
Auto6.3
Teleop16.1
End1.3
Third
4750
#27
20.10.6
20.820.2
Auto3.9
Teleop11.5
End4.7
red by 10.6
8704
#31
9.51.1
4.96.0
Auto3.1
Teleop4.1
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsEarned15%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
43%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsMissed