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Red118
27244.3
201634.3
465338.8
Blue36
566620.6
42719.6
549011.8
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12056010015020011836

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+68Teleop
+80Endgame
+82Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave0
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points12
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +64
16Coral scored#3
58Coral points12
1Processor algae#0
5Net algae#2
6Processor points0
20Net points8
26Algae points8
84Total teleop20
Reef
8L4#2
6L3#1
2L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
25Game pieces#7
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +82
2Foul points0
118Total score36

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
272
#6
44.30.8
42.243.0
Auto6.6
Teleop28.2
End9.5
red by 23.8
5666
#32
20.61.5
21.119.6
Auto3.8
Teleop14.5
End2.3
Second
38.80.8
32.433.2
Auto10.2
Teleop19.9
End8.7
red by 19.1
427
#33
19.61.5
15.113.6
Auto6.8
Teleop9.7
End3.1
Third
2016
#18
34.30.8
26.026.8
Auto4.6
Teleop28.1
End1.7
red by 22.5
5490
#28
11.82.5
20.017.5
Auto3.7
Teleop6.2
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsEarned49%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
88%Barge oddsEarned29%Barge oddsMissed